The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
886 | 780 | 65% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
1094 | 989 | 65% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
977 | 1090 | 34% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
1008 | 894 | 66% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
1003 | 941 | 59% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
1087 | 1225 | 31% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
960 | 1030 | 40% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1006.3 has a 56.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).