Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (35 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (American): 68
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
1004 | 1013 | 49% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
890 | 994 | 35% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
1022 | 1030 | 49% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
931 | 1307 | 10% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1307 | 15% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
1307 | 1016 | 84% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
920 | 1210 | 16% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
1168 | 1015 | 71% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
1041 | 1011 | 54% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
927 | 1013 | 38% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1138 | 1011 | 68% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
989 | 1175 | 26% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
1178 | 1051 | 68% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
1045 | 1097 | 43% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
1013 | 1088 | 39% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
1109 | 1051 | 58% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
982 | 1008 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
977 | 896 | 61% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
1087 | 1146 | 42% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
1284 | 1205 | 61% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
950 | 881 | 60% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
1133 | 1083 | 57% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
1108 | 879 | 79% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1030 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
998 | 969 | 54% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1054.5 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).