Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 931 | 68% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
1005 | 1016 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
978 | 933 | 56% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
997 | 997 | 50% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
1260 | 1027 | 79% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
1012 | 981 | 54% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
1160 | 1063 | 64% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
994 | 1003 | 49% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1032.8 vs 1029.7 has a 50.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).