Insurrection at Cividale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (9 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
974 | 980 | 49% | 2022-03-01 | Lost |
1118 | 1083 | 55% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
1022 | 1013 | 51% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
1197 | 1058 | 69% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
1183 | 1225 | 44% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
983 | 1041 | 42% | 2019-05-13 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1075.6 vs 1064.2 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).