One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (9 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German ): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
1058 | 994 | 59% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
925 | 1055 | 32% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
1178 | 1178 | 50% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
1204 | 881 | 87% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
985 | 1204 | 22% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1026.8 has a 55.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).