The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
1178 | 1178 | 50% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 995.5 vs 1015 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).