The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
1014 | 1041 | 46% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
967 | 1013 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
1189 | 1087 | 64% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
892 | 919 | 46% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
1055 | 992 | 59% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
1017 | 941 | 61% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
919 | 961 | 44% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
1133 | 1003 | 68% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
1026 | 1063 | 45% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 991.3 has a 58.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).