The Closer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (21 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Canadian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
992 | 992 | 50% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
865 | 780 | 62% | 2023-01-03 | Lost |
1115 | 1061 | 58% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
1144 | 1049 | 63% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
977 | 863 | 66% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
1014 | 1307 | 16% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2021-07-11 | Won |
984 | 1168 | 26% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2020-09-14 | Lost |
1031 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
1028 | 1042 | 48% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2019-11-23 | Tied |
989 | 987 | 50% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
992 | 975 | 52% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1034.3 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).