Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (16 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 23
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 1087 | 38% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
1204 | 1005 | 76% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1285 | 1312 | 46% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
882 | 1093 | 23% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
882 | 1093 | 23% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
984 | 1108 | 33% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1082 | 1104 | 47% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
1008 | 780 | 79% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
1000 | 1171 | 27% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
1011 | 1115 | 35% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
899 | 942 | 44% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1204 | 942 | 82% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1314 | 1016 | 85% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1081.8 has a 47.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).