The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (26 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
969 | 942 | 54% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
989 | 1109 | 33% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
1136 | 989 | 70% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
780 | 865 | 38% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
961 | 948 | 52% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
1245 | 1307 | 41% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
1171 | 987 | 74% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
925 | 1027 | 36% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
1307 | 1032 | 83% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1034 | 1025 | 51% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
1037 | 1009 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
992 | 1147 | 29% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
1307 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
1327 | 1053 | 83% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
1176 | 1058 | 66% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
1116 | 816 | 85% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
1169 | 1160 | 51% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
1176 | 1169 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1042.2 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).