The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 942 | 52% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
1082 | 1127 | 44% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
971 | 1171 | 24% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
1192 | 1087 | 65% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
816 | 1116 | 15% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
1063 | 1012 | 57% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 1090.7 has a 37.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).