Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
992 | 1044 | 43% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
1011 | 977 | 55% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
1136 | 1191 | 42% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
1171 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
1171 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
1314 | 1079 | 79% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
1068 | 1176 | 35% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1093 vs 1083.9 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).