The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 12
Defender wins (Republicans): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1181 | 1176 | 51% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
1155 | 914 | 80% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
1092 | 1093 | 50% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
1208 | 1032 | 73% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
1166 | 1057 | 65% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1124.3 vs 1079.3 has a 56.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).