Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
896 | 925 | 46% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
975 | 992 | 48% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
925 | 930 | 49% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
1093 | 882 | 77% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
971 | 1087 | 34% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
1048 | 1204 | 29% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
1046 | 1017 | 54% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
961 | 943 | 53% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
1171 | 1183 | 48% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
1079 | 1314 | 21% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
1024 | 1013 | 52% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1061.8 has a 43.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).