Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British/American): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
978 | 978 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
1079 | 1314 | 21% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
1008 | 1063 | 42% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
996 | 949 | 57% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
1108 | 1166 | 42% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1155 | 1046 | 65% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1008 | 1026 | 47% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
858 | 879 | 47% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
1029 | 1007 | 53% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
932 | 1010 | 39% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1063.1 has a 44.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).