The Czerniakow Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 273 (50 on the archive and 223 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 125
Defender wins (Russian / Partisan (AK)): 147
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
997 | 1029 | 45% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
1019 | 1152 | 32% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
1118 | 1152 | 45% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-12-22 | Won |
1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-12-22 | Won |
1055 | 1106 | 43% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
1013 | 1005 | 51% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
1024 | 1028 | 49% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
1109 | 893 | 78% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
1037 | 1105 | 40% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2016-09-30 | Lost |
1158 | 1026 | 68% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
991 | 1204 | 23% | 2015-01-15 | Lost |
1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
1227 | 1086 | 69% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
1058 | 916 | 69% | 2014-01-11 | Won |
1056 | 1055 | 50% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
1010 | 1204 | 25% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
1010 | 1204 | 25% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
1020 | 1176 | 29% | 2012-11-01 | Won |
1204 | 973 | 79% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
924 | 952 | 46% | 2011-10-14 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2011-07-13 | Lost |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2011-04-27 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2011-01-19 | Won |
977 | 1016 | 44% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
1108 | 842 | 82% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-06-06 | Won |
1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2004-11-20 | Lost |
862 | 968 | 35% | 2004-08-30 | Lost |
1204 | 925 | 83% | 2004-08-16 | Lost |
1063 | 992 | 60% | 2004-03-28 | Lost |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 2002-06-16 | Won |
831 | 849 | 47% | 2002-05-01 | Won |
1053 | 1097 | 44% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
955 | 1063 | 35% | 1998-09-22 | Won |
1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-03-20 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 1991-04-13 | Tied |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1034.8 vs 1041 has a 49.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).