The Czerniakow Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 281 (56 on the archive and 225 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 133
Defender wins (Russian/Partisan (AK)): 147
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 868 | 70% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 979 | 1016 | 45% | 2024-06-28 | Won |
| 998 | 950 | 57% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-01-22 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1228 | 23% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 939 | 52% | 2021-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-12-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-12-22 | Won |
| 1074 | 1107 | 45% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 951 | 970 | 47% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-05-30 | Won |
| 1024 | 1082 | 42% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1198 | 893 | 85% | 2017-04-13 | Won |
| 1091 | 1107 | 48% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2016-09-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1026 | 68% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1257 | 947 | 86% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1016 | 60% | 2015-01-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1006 | 54% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 1089 | 69% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 964 | 61% | 2014-01-11 | Won |
| 1063 | 1053 | 51% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1073 | 67% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1198 | 33% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1016 | 49% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1016 | 49% | 2013-02-24 | Lost |
| 900 | 1070 | 27% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1152 | 31% | 2012-11-01 | Won |
| 1016 | 973 | 56% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 962 | 951 | 52% | 2011-10-14 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2011-07-13 | Lost |
| 942 | 1096 | 29% | 2011-04-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2011-01-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1014 | 38% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1123 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
| 1070 | 840 | 79% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1196 | 44% | 2008-03-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-06-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2004-11-20 | Lost |
| 862 | 968 | 35% | 2004-08-30 | Lost |
| 1067 | 986 | 61% | 2004-03-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 987 | 69% | 2002-06-16 | Won |
| 827 | 844 | 48% | 2002-05-01 | Won |
| 1057 | 1100 | 44% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1998-09-22 | Won |
| 1051 | 1041 | 51% | 1998-03-20 | Lost |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 1994-03-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 985 | 57% | 1991-04-13 | Tied |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 1028 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).