The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 380 (59 on the archive and 321 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 191
Defender wins (Russian): 189
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1086 | 994 | 63% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
930 | 1029 | 36% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
780 | 1032 | 19% | 2022-09-28 | Won |
1156 | 1058 | 64% | 2022-07-03 | Won |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-10-14 | Won |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2021-10-14 | Won |
941 | 920 | 53% | 2021-06-30 | Won |
1148 | 1175 | 46% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
983 | 1159 | 27% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2021-03-24 | Lost |
1159 | 983 | 73% | 2021-03-14 | Won |
1034 | 1013 | 53% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
1109 | 1296 | 25% | 2019-12-04 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
885 | 890 | 49% | 2018-09-25 | Lost |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2018-08-03 | Lost |
973 | 973 | 50% | 2018-06-30 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
994 | 1086 | 37% | 2018-05-21 | Lost |
1086 | 994 | 63% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
972 | 1032 | 41% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
1056 | 1027 | 54% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2017-06-12 | Won |
987 | 961 | 54% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
893 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
955 | 1013 | 42% | 2017-01-26 | Won |
983 | 881 | 64% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
1109 | 966 | 69% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
969 | 1069 | 36% | 2015-04-29 | Lost |
858 | 1109 | 19% | 2013-11-04 | Lost |
1105 | 956 | 70% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-01-27 | Won |
983 | 1012 | 46% | 2012-09-20 | Won |
901 | 952 | 43% | 2012-09-20 | Won |
931 | 1068 | 31% | 2012-07-22 | Won |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2011-08-07 | Lost |
959 | 1090 | 32% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
963 | 968 | 49% | 2010-12-22 | Won |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2010-10-18 | Won |
989 | 890 | 64% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
1108 | 987 | 67% | 2009-10-04 | Lost |
1049 | 914 | 69% | 2009-10-03 | Won |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2009-05-09 | Won |
919 | 983 | 41% | 2007-10-30 | Lost |
1060 | 1072 | 48% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2004-11-22 | Won |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2004-08-16 | Won |
928 | 987 | 42% | 2004-06-15 | Lost |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2001-11-17 | Won |
919 | 992 | 40% | 2001-05-21 | Lost |
1142 | 1039 | 64% | 1998-12-05 | Won |
1056 | 1096 | 44% | 1998-07-22 | Lost |
1051 | 1037 | 52% | 1998-04-09 | Won |
1083 | 1061 | 53% | 1995-10-01 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1991-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 995.9 vs 1021.2 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).