No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 950 | 47% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 994 | 1248 | 19% | 2020-12-09 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2017-08-09 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 903 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-01-28 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-01-07 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2015-10-22 | Tied |
| 1046 | 967 | 61% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-09-06 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1066 | 44% | 2014-08-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1100 | 41% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 1219 | 29% | 2013-12-02 | Won |
| 1061 | 956 | 65% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2013-09-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
| 1039 | 1073 | 45% | 2012-02-10 | Won |
| 949 | 1017 | 40% | 2008-08-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2006-06-05 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-11-19 | Won |
| 1189 | 1035 | 71% | 2004-07-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1116 | 40% | 2003-09-28 | Won |
| 854 | 1036 | 26% | 1999-01-14 | Won |
| 1248 | 881 | 89% | 1993-04-13 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1992-02-02 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1036.9 has a 48.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).