No Better Spot to Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 202 (29 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 133
Defender wins (American): 68
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 894 | 57% | 2023-12-10 | | Won |
| 967 | 1139 | 27% | 2020-12-09 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1055 | 948 | 65% | 2018-08-10 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-08-09 | | Lost |
| 862 | 1000 | 31% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2017-01-28 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-01-07 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2015-10-22 | | Tied |
| 1057 | 966 | 63% | 2014-12-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1038 | 52% | 2014-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-08-29 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2014-07-21 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1075 | 49% | 2013-12-02 | D | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-11-15 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1151 | 39% | 2013-09-11 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-04-10 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2012-02-10 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-08-20 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1031 | 48% | 2006-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-11-19 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2004-07-16 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1025 | 53% | 2003-09-28 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1999-05-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 1999-01-14 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 1993-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 1992-02-02 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1018 has a 52.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).