Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 1008 | 64% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1030 | 48% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 974 | 57% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1023 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1100 | 1114 | 48% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
| 1114 | 1100 | 52% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1158 | 30% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1270 | 14% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 1183 | 1270 | 38% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 1172 | 1183 | 48% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1183 | 46% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1035 | 992 | 56% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 900 | 1065 | 28% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1067 | 50% | 2012-12-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
| 805 | 1055 | 19% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 920 | 805 | 66% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1099 | 973 | 67% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1041 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1113 | 50% | 1999-01-20 | Lost |
| 866 | 1002 | 31% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
| 1153 | 911 | 80% | 1993-04-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1153 | 17% | 1993-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1032.6 vs 1060.6 has a 45.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).