Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 967 | 69% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 909 | 65% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1023 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1162 | 1115 | 57% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
| 1115 | 1162 | 43% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1192 | 20% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 1193 | 1192 | 50% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 1172 | 1193 | 47% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1193 | 44% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 992 | 56% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 900 | 1107 | 23% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1067 | 52% | 2012-12-18 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 920 | 1010 | 37% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1099 | 973 | 67% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1041 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1157 | 30% | 2004-11-19 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1113 | 42% | 1999-01-20 | Lost |
| 866 | 1037 | 27% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
| 1234 | 911 | 87% | 1993-04-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1234 | 12% | 1993-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1070.4 has a 46.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).