Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (25 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 98
Defender wins (American): 78
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 1108 | 967 | 69% | 2019-09-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 988 | 54% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1023 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
| 1110 | 1110 | 50% | 2016-05-12 | Won |
| 1110 | 1110 | 50% | 2016-04-27 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1158 | 35% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 1221 | 18% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 1064 | 1221 | 29% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 1172 | 1064 | 65% | 2013-11-07 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1064 | 62% | 2013-08-30 | Won |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 900 | 1072 | 27% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1087 | 46% | 2012-12-18 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
| 1012 | 1117 | 35% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 919 | 1012 | 37% | 2007-11-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 973 | 67% | 2007-03-02 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2006-07-05 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1036 | 70% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1113 | 37% | 1999-01-20 | Lost |
| 867 | 1019 | 29% | 1998-06-06 | Lost |
| 1200 | 911 | 84% | 1993-04-26 | Won |
| 881 | 1200 | 14% | 1993-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1036.6 vs 1059.4 has a 46.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).