The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 19
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2026-01-05 | Won |
| 857 | 1007 | 30% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1026 | 54% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 999 | 43% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 756 | 900 | 30% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1146 | 1175 | 46% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1039 | 53% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 975 | 980 | 49% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 910 | 756 | 71% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1056 | 1079 | 47% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 958 | 1023 | 41% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1006 | 1098 | 37% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1098 | 28% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1079 | 63% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1107 | 942 | 72% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 988 | 1098 | 35% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 1023 | 41% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1089 | 1041 | 57% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1105 | 1038 | 60% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1177 | 881 | 85% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1016.2 vs 1015.3 has a 50.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).