The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 20
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1070 | 23% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 951 | 1041 | 37% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 754 | 900 | 30% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1169 | 46% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1070 | 48% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1130 | 1009 | 67% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 973 | 937 | 55% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 951 | 987 | 45% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 878 | 754 | 67% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 960 | 937 | 53% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 931 | 1065 | 32% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1203 | 46% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1096 | 942 | 71% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 988 | 1065 | 39% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 960 | 937 | 53% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1123 | 1041 | 62% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 1127 | 987 | 69% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1075 | 1038 | 55% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1193 | 881 | 86% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 985 | 1061 | 39% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1068 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1009.7 has a 51.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).