The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (26 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 68
Defender wins (German): 93
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
955 | 976 | 47% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
957 | 942 | 52% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
1142 | 1179 | 45% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
992 | 1026 | 45% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
972 | 1093 | 33% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
1020 | 1018 | 50% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
1005 | 1055 | 43% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
965 | 1019 | 42% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
1051 | 1007 | 56% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
999 | 1227 | 21% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
933 | 1007 | 40% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
952 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
1175 | 1104 | 60% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
989 | 1007 | 47% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
961 | 1019 | 42% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
936 | 1093 | 29% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
1158 | 980 | 74% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
1073 | 1028 | 56% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
990 | 963 | 54% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
1137 | 1053 | 62% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1024 vs 1030.7 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).