The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 20
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 957 | 56% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 952 | 1018 | 41% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 831 | 890 | 42% | 2022-01-11 | Won |
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1009 | 69% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2018-01-14 | Won |
| 973 | 959 | 52% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 903 | 987 | 38% | 2017-01-05 | Won |
| 835 | 831 | 51% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 960 | 949 | 52% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2014-12-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-05-18 | Won |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
| 951 | 922 | 54% | 2014-01-03 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1219 | 43% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 973 | 949 | 53% | 2010-11-19 | Won |
| 989 | 1058 | 40% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-01-10 | Lost |
| 959 | 949 | 51% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1116 | 1040 | 61% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 1136 | 978 | 71% | 2004-08-31 | Won |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 1998-09-01 | Lost |
| 1248 | 881 | 89% | 1993-03-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1992-12-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1069 | 45% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1022.2 vs 1012.1 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).