The Liberation of Tulle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 166 (32 on the archive and 135 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 102
Defender wins (German): 64
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (FTP)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 988 | 60% | 2026-01-05 | A | Won |
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-03-10 | | Won |
| 952 | 996 | 44% | 2022-03-25 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2022-01-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1200 | 24% | 2021-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2019-08-23 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1052 | 41% | 2018-01-14 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-10-07 | | Won |
| 966 | 1002 | 45% | 2017-01-05 | | Won |
| 897 | 692 | 76% | 2016-10-06 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2016-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2016-07-24 | | Won |
| 1081 | 1147 | 41% | 2014-12-20 | | Won |
| 983 | 1233 | 19% | 2014-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2014-02-07 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2014-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2013-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2013-06-23 | | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2010-11-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2009-08-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2009-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2008-07-22 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2005-10-23 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-08-31 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1037 | 68% | 1998-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 1993-03-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 1992-12-19 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1010.9 vs 1031.6 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).