Ambush!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 16
Defender wins (Partisan): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1008 | 54% | 2022-08-10 | Won |
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
| 903 | 987 | 38% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1068 | 51% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2015-04-16 | Won |
| 1039 | 931 | 65% | 2014-11-28 | Won |
| 944 | 1094 | 30% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 844 | 90% | 2013-11-26 | Won |
| 959 | 977 | 47% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-10 | Won |
| 959 | 1058 | 36% | 2010-03-27 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2009-10-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 989 | 60% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 949 | 51% | 2008-07-18 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1116 | 61% | 2006-02-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
| 891 | 1189 | 15% | 2005-01-19 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1113 | 50% | 2004-10-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2004-02-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-01-29 | Won |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2001-09-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1036 | 27% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
| 940 | 1089 | 30% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1248 | 32% | 1995-08-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 1991-04-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1037.5 has a 47.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).