The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (18 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 951 | 55% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 912 | 74% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 954 | 65% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 922 | 1203 | 17% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 978 | 54% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 928 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 830 | 1156 | 13% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1156 | 45% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 866 | 1028 | 28% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1034.1 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).