The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Partisan): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 914 | 60% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 913 | 74% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1001 | 910 | 63% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 914 | 956 | 44% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 879 | 1219 | 12% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 1116 | 40% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 1017 | 1012 | 51% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 1181 | 1181 | 50% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 928 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 847 | 1238 | 10% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1238 | 33% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 866 | 1015 | 30% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1042.1 has a 47.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).