The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 933 | 60% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 911 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 1056 | 45% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1008 | 54% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 977 | 64% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 933 | 958 | 46% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1233 | 984 | 81% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 924 | 1079 | 29% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 1030 | 48% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 906 | 60% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 951 | 1041 | 37% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 907 | 908 | 50% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 833 | 1076 | 20% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1076 | 56% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 867 | 1077 | 23% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1011.9 vs 1009.7 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).