The Cossacks Are Coming
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (13 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian / German): 53
Defender wins (Partisan): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2020-04-06 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2018-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1180 | 981 | 76% | 2018-06-30 | | Won |
| 1156 | 982 | 73% | 2017-12-30 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2009-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2008-10-25 | | Won |
| 970 | 1074 | 35% | 2004-03-12 | | Won |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2004-02-29 | | Won |
| 832 | 1133 | 15% | 2002-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-10-01 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1995-06-15 | | Won |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 1992-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 1991-05-04 | | Tied |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1003.8 has a 58.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).