Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (British): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 918 | 82% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1158 | 1123 | 55% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 975 | 61% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1114 | 964 | 70% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1114 | 964 | 70% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1109 | 56% | 2015-06-27 | Won |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-12-14 | Lost |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2012-07-06 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1057 | 68% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-07-06 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1092.4 vs 1029.9 has a 58.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).