Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (18 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2026-06-06 | Won |
| 1210 | 1196 | 52% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1076 | 937 | 69% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1160 | 1144 | 52% | 2025-03-19 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1084 | 59% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-03-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1090 | 992 | 64% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 992 | 64% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1094 | 977 | 66% | 2017-12-23 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1048 | 61% | 2015-06-27 | Won |
| 1070 | 1023 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | Lost |
| 1087 | 948 | 69% | 2012-07-06 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-08-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2008-06-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1076 | 56% | 1995-07-06 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1102.3 vs 1040.8 has a 58.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).