Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1004 | 1089 | 38% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1009 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 1005 | 71% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1066 | 44% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1116 | 47% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1248 | 32% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 1062 has a 48.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).