Fort McGregor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (11 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (British): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 954 | 1024 | 40% | 2019-03-25 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 983 | 54% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1158 | 991 | 72% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1071 | 43% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 1092 | 1089 | 50% | 2008-08-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1073 | 47% | 2005-12-30 | Won |
| 1248 | 1073 | 73% | 2005-12-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1177 | 42% | 1995-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1043.4 has a 53.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).