Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (11 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (New Zealand): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1155 | 1137 | 53% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1112 | 1149 | 45% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 949 | 75% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1006 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1014 | 72% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1153 | 44% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1091.7 vs 1056.5 has a 55.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).