Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (11 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (New Zealand): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1116 | 1155 | 44% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 959 | 943 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1006 | 68% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1248 | 31% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.7 vs 1071 has a 50.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).