Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (11 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (New Zealand): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1158 | 45% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 970 | 1050 | 39% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1059 | 1149 | 37% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1162 | 948 | 77% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1006 | 60% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1038 | 68% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1190 | 39% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1070.5 has a 51.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).