Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (New Zealand): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 1161 | 48% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 952 | 1056 | 35% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
| 994 | 1149 | 29% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1099 | 948 | 70% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1005 | 55% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1189 | 39% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1060.6 has a 53.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).