A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 65
Defender wins (British): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 980 | 70% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1026 | 44% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1256 | 933 | 87% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-09-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2002-04-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 827 | 82% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 2000-03-20 | Won |
| 1173 | 978 | 75% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1224 | 1118 | 65% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1180 | 28% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1083.3 vs 1021.1 has a 58.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).