A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (14 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 63
Defender wins (British): 65
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1014 | 53% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 1039 | 949 | 63% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1263 | 1013 | 81% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2002-04-29 | Won |
| 1135 | 827 | 85% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1127 | 977 | 70% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1156 | 1118 | 55% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1210 | 25% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1085.4 vs 1004.4 has a 61.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).