A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 65
Defender wins (British): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-03-04 | | Lost |
| 977 | 999 | 47% | 2022-03-02 | | Won |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2019-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2019-03-31 | | Won |
| 1258 | 1174 | 62% | 2015-12-20 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-07-28 | | Won |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2014-07-25 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-06-19 | | Won |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2002-04-29 | | Won |
| 1097 | 827 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2000-03-20 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 1997-03-26 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 1995-07-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 1990-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1012.6 has a 59.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).