A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (14 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 68
Defender wins (British): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 995 | 70% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 1044 | 996 | 57% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 995 | 946 | 57% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1220 | 968 | 81% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2002-04-29 | Won |
| 1136 | 827 | 86% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1115 | 977 | 69% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1167 | 1118 | 57% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1269 | 19% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1003.3 has a 60.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).