A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (13 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 66
Defender wins (British): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1203 | 1061 | 69% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
951 | 1015 | 41% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
1034 | 1010 | 53% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
1061 | 954 | 65% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
1232 | 999 | 79% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
1029 | 1126 | 36% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
918 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
1109 | 829 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
1153 | 977 | 73% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
1204 | 1118 | 62% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
1016 | 1266 | 19% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
1140 | 1121 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1037 has a 56.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).