A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (11 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 64
Defender wins (British): 56
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
1003 | 1016 | 48% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
1058 | 924 | 68% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
1188 | 984 | 76% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
1110 | 831 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
1016 | 1317 | 15% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1094.9 vs 1026.1 has a 59.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).