A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (13 on the archive and 111 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 66
Defender wins (British): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 956 | 995 | 44% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
| 959 | 943 | 52% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
| 919 | 976 | 42% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 829 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
| 1248 | 1118 | 68% | 1995-07-09 | Won |
| 1016 | 1264 | 19% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1022.2 has a 57.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).