Hazardous Occupation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (12 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 32
Defender wins (Partisan (Muslim)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 967 | 960 | 51% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2019-07-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1028 | 62% | 2016-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1223 | 1080 | 69% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2012-06-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1109 | 36% | 2010-10-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1157 | 28% | 2006-12-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1213 | 27% | 2001-03-02 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-07-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1056.3 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).