Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (15 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2024-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 780 | 91% | 2021-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1097 | 62% | 2020-07-05 | | Won |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2020-05-16 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2018-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2016-04-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2012-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2012-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1007 | 67% | 2011-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2008-03-18 | | Won |
| 1172 | 1164 | 51% | 2002-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1172 | 39% | 2001-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1992-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 1991-11-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1051.5 has a 50.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).