Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (15 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 762 | 92% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1207 | 947 | 82% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 946 | 967 | 47% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1110 | 39% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1123 | 54% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 920 | 57% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1189 | 1136 | 58% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1189 | 36% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 1992-10-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 1051 | 35% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.5 vs 1040.6 has a 55.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).