Red Star, Red Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (14 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2024-01-19 | Lost |
| 1189 | 764 | 92% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1242 | 964 | 83% | 2020-07-05 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2018-08-25 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2016-04-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2012-12-17 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1064 | 62% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 764 | 920 | 29% | 2008-03-18 | Won |
| 1189 | 1152 | 55% | 2002-07-27 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1189 | 36% | 2001-03-10 | Lost |
| 941 | 1052 | 35% | 1991-11-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1021.1 has a 56.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).