Sea of Tranquility
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (11 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2024-07-18 | Lost |
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2024-05-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 938 | 69% | 2023-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 897 | 80% | 2016-12-07 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2015-09-06 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1115 | 1130 | 48% | 2006-09-07 | Tied |
| 1213 | 1153 | 59% | 2001-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1020.4 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).