Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (22 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Danish): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1104 | 51% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 948 | 1033 | 38% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1103 | 913 | 75% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1217 | 948 | 82% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1211 | 48% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 933 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 882 | 1080 | 24% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1204 | 987 | 78% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1118 | 62% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 1151 | 38% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1083 | 912 | 73% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1093 | 40% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1122 | 33% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1057.3 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).