Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (22 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Danish): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1037 | 53% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1103 | 890 | 77% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1216 | 948 | 82% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1158 | 955 | 76% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 933 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 881 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 994 | 74% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1118 | 58% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 1138 | 40% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1095 | 906 | 75% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1085 | 41% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1122 | 33% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1068.1 vs 1046.7 has a 53.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).