Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (23 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Danish): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2025-02-15 | | Tied |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-05-27 | | Won |
| 1102 | 877 | 79% | 2022-03-29 | | Won |
| 1218 | 911 | 85% | 2018-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2017-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 952 | 75% | 2017-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2016-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 945 | 70% | 2016-06-01 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1000 | 40% | 2015-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1080 | 24% | 2013-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1175 | 1000 | 73% | 2004-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2000-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 1999-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 1999-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 1999-02-26 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1004 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1120 | 35% | 1998-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1998-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1010.5 has a 57.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).