Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (22 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Danish): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1098 | 52% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 949 | 1107 | 29% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1102 | 927 | 73% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1219 | 948 | 83% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1153 | 990 | 72% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1035 | 933 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 881 | 1065 | 26% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 984 | 75% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1118 | 55% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1066 | 1152 | 38% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1075 | 912 | 72% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1139 | 34% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1106 | 35% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1072.3 vs 1060.9 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).