Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (22 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Danish): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1083 | 54% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1110 | 970 | 69% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1221 | 954 | 82% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1011 | 66% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1188 | 51% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 935 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1044 | 29% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 985 | 73% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1118 | 63% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1067 | 1152 | 38% | 1999-10-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 912 | 72% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1058 | 45% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1154 | 44% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1052.5 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).