Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (26 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (Belgian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 786 | 1105 | 14% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
| 1083 | 1186 | 36% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
| 1081 | 875 | 77% | 2012-11-03 | Lost |
| 918 | 980 | 41% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2007-10-19 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1085 | 55% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
| 892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1041 | 49% | 2002-02-08 | Lost |
| 1112 | 974 | 69% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
| 1204 | 1045 | 71% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1140 | 36% | 1999-10-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 1101 | 36% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
| 1149 | 1283 | 32% | 1999-04-22 | Lost |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
| 1283 | 1292 | 49% | 1999-03-07 | Lost |
| 934 | 1046 | 34% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
| 1073 | 1105 | 45% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
| 1027 | 900 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1057.8 has a 47.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).