Ad Hoc at Beaurains
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (10 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 17
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-12-18 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1248 | 1049 | 76% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1264 | 949 | 86% | 2020-10-28 | Won |
| 1067 | 1116 | 43% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 958 | 53% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2003-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1018.9 has a 54.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).