Descent into Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (15 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2023-11-30 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 1022 | 40% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 974 | 924 | 57% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 953 | 1140 | 25% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2016-11-27 | Won |
| 1108 | 1135 | 46% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1107 | 827 | 83% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
| 1008 | 1141 | 32% | 1998-07-18 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1129 | 56% | 1993-06-18 | Tied |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 1993-01-01 | Tied |
| 930 | 1036 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.2 vs 1018.5 has a 51.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).