Descent into Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (New Zealand): 22
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1011 | 938 | 60% | 2023-11-30 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
967 | 940 | 54% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
1057 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
987 | 1077 | 37% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2016-11-27 | Won |
1115 | 1008 | 65% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
1120 | 831 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1993-01-01 | Tied |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 970.4 has a 58.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).