Regalbuto Ridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (20 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (British): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 755 | 1187 | 8% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1151 | 61% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2021-03-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-03-22 | Won |
| 957 | 986 | 46% | 2019-09-02 | Won |
| 974 | 1133 | 29% | 2019-03-12 | Won |
| 1158 | 1145 | 52% | 2018-01-31 | Won |
| 979 | 1173 | 25% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 984 | 1001 | 48% | 2015-01-21 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1043 | 55% | 2014-12-31 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 843 | 82% | 2014-08-31 | Won |
| 972 | 949 | 53% | 2012-02-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 1036 | 70% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1007 | 75% | 2007-01-12 | Won |
| 1061 | 1149 | 38% | 2006-02-23 | Lost |
| 867 | 1033 | 28% | 1998-07-31 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 1071.6 has a 45.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).