Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (35 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (German ): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 903 | 77% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 952 | 56% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 952 | 994 | 44% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 953 | 953 | 50% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 953 | 953 | 50% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 953 | 50% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 903 | 994 | 37% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1116 | 989 | 68% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 952 | 1087 | 31% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1137 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 991 | 53% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 956 | 959 | 50% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1141 | 34% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1238 | 1412 | 27% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 987 | 903 | 62% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 931 | 1014 | 38% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1109 | 903 | 77% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1113 | 971 | 69% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 1219 | 28% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 1029 | 36% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1036 | 48% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1025.9 vs 1021.7 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).