Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (37 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German ): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1014 | 62% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 1103 | 951 | 71% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 976 | 49% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 947 | 972 | 46% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 972 | 48% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 956 | 972 | 48% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 951 | 994 | 44% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 989 | 70% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 927 | 1106 | 26% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1254 | 937 | 86% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 956 | 937 | 53% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 949 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1142 | 34% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1239 | 1416 | 27% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 987 | 951 | 55% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 927 | 996 | 40% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1112 | 951 | 72% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1114 | 977 | 69% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1203 | 30% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1333 | 23% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2004-10-28 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1028 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1020.4 vs 1030.4 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).