Dreil Team
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (40 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 51
Defender wins (German ): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-12-19 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1036 | 52% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 1066 | 1012 | 58% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 964 | 60% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 988 | 855 | 68% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 855 | 988 | 32% | 2025-01-02 | Lost |
| 981 | 947 | 55% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 947 | 65% | 2024-12-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 947 | 65% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2022-02-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 964 | 994 | 46% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1136 | 934 | 76% | 2021-09-25 | Won |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1002 | 79% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 977 | 55% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2020-04-24 | Lost |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 970 | 986 | 48% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
| 948 | 1035 | 38% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1213 | 26% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1427 | 1430 | 50% | 2016-11-30 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2016-05-01 | Won |
| 929 | 1029 | 36% | 2016-04-03 | Lost |
| 1128 | 964 | 72% | 2016-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 979 | 75% | 2015-12-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1083 | 46% | 2013-12-18 | Lost |
| 959 | 880 | 61% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 988 | 47% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
| 929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-11-14 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1238 | 35% | 2004-12-11 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2004-10-28 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1263 | 49% | 2004-04-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1036.1 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).