Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (7 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 25
Defender wins (Hungarian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
966 | 1066 | 36% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
1038 | 981 | 58% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
919 | 1204 | 16% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
987 | 1227 | 20% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
904 | 944 | 44% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1005.4 vs 1079.9 has a 39.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).