Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1106 | 31% | 2024-06-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1176 | 38% | 2023-04-27 | Won |
| 900 | 756 | 70% | 2022-05-12 | Lost |
| 1090 | 911 | 74% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 953 | 45% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 970 | 1233 | 18% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
| 1049 | 1238 | 25% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2006-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1010.4 vs 1049.8 has a 44.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).