Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1084 | 35% | 2024-06-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1177 | 38% | 2023-04-27 | Won |
| 900 | 755 | 70% | 2022-05-12 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1027 | 47% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
| 920 | 985 | 41% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 962 | 1228 | 18% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
| 1068 | 1178 | 35% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1053 | 52% | 2006-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011 vs 1055.1 has a 43.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).