Balkan Sideshow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 26
Defender wins (Hungarian): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Yugoslavian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1037 | 42% | 2024-06-12 | Won |
| 857 | 1142 | 16% | 2023-04-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2022-05-12 | Lost |
| 885 | 934 | 43% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
| 984 | 1016 | 45% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1057 | 48% | 2016-07-10 | Lost |
| 919 | 1074 | 29% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
| 979 | 1228 | 19% | 2007-11-04 | Tied |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2007-04-13 | Won |
| 1021 | 1055 | 45% | 2006-04-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1121 | 36% | 2006-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 980.4 vs 1059 has a 38.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).