The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1019 | 61% | 2026-01-27 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2022-08-05 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2021-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 1050 | 938 | 66% | 2020-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2020-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2016-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-02-28 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2012-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 1999-04-16 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1026.7 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).