The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1040 | 56% | 2026-01-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1113 | 28% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 954 | 933 | 53% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1226 | 28% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1019 | 937 | 62% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1219 | 35% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1059 | 58% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1038 | 921 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 879 | 79% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1107 | 47% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1060 | 43% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.2 vs 1046.2 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).