The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 956 | 909 | 57% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1222 | 49% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1062 | 939 | 67% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1157 | 30% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1193 | 39% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 967 | 921 | 57% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 1010 | 879 | 68% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1039 | 48% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1043.8 has a 46.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).