The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Finnish): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 953 | 950 | 50% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1225 | 46% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 939 | 66% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 986 | 1169 | 26% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1138 | 47% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 975 | 921 | 58% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 986 | 879 | 65% | 2016-10-27 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-02-28 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1068 | 42% | 1999-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1037.9 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).