The Borders are Burning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2026-01-27 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2022-08-05 | | Won |
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2021-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-07-01 | | Won |
| 1028 | 938 | 63% | 2020-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1205 | 24% | 2020-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2020-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2019-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 886 | 66% | 2016-10-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-02-28 | | Lost |
| 937 | 1070 | 32% | 2012-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 1999-04-16 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1033.5 has a 47.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).