The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (12 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1023 | 57% | 2025-08-17 | Lost |
| 984 | 1126 | 31% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 984 | 1126 | 31% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 987 | 1011 | 47% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 1000 | 41% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1099 | 44% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1092 | 37% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 971 | 67% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1184 | 49% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1031 | 51% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
| 1029 | 814 | 78% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1034.4 vs 1043.6 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).