The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1093 | 57% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1173 | 1312 | 31% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1112 | 976 | 69% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
| 1100 | 877 | 78% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.7 vs 1081.3 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).