The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (12 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-17 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-10-07 | | Tied |
| 1082 | 986 | 63% | 2014-03-01 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-07-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1004.2 vs 995.1 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).