Counterattack on the Vistula
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (28 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1181 | 1088 | 63% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
920 | 941 | 47% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2020-10-07 | Lost |
1168 | 1225 | 42% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
1065 | 953 | 66% | 2020-08-17 | Won |
983 | 1159 | 27% | 2020-03-24 | Won |
1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
1058 | 949 | 65% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
1049 | 1006 | 56% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
1005 | 1013 | 49% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
1163 | 1198 | 45% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
1108 | 842 | 82% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
1109 | 966 | 69% | 2017-06-27 | Won |
1006 | 881 | 67% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
890 | 1016 | 33% | 2016-06-18 | Lost |
917 | 989 | 40% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2015-01-06 | Lost |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2014-07-07 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
1079 | 963 | 66% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
945 | 1095 | 30% | 2007-04-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1360 | 11% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
979 | 1360 | 10% | 2006-07-16 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1064.5 has a 47.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).