Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 382 (65 on the archive and 317 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 181
Defender wins (Russian): 201
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1026 | 44% | 2026-02-14 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1055 | 42% | 2025-10-09 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 999 | 859 | 69% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1092 | 1013 | 61% | 2024-02-25 | Won |
| 980 | 1013 | 45% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1191 | 43% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 1008 | 858 | 70% | 2022-05-27 | Won |
| 858 | 1008 | 30% | 2022-05-26 | Lost |
| 969 | 1136 | 28% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 969 | 1136 | 28% | 2022-03-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1158 | 26% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 947 | 54% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 980 | 1010 | 46% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 919 | 1015 | 37% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 1095 | 27% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1140 | 53% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 934 | 1026 | 37% | 2019-08-18 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1199 | 33% | 2019-05-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1116 | 45% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1026 | 64% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 1026 | 64% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2018-06-05 | Won |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1002 | 54% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-07-17 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 913 | 1079 | 28% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 906 | 49% | 2016-07-14 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2016-06-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1054 | 64% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1039 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-06-08 | Won |
| 1058 | 694 | 89% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 987 | 969 | 53% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1008 | 41% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 983 | 51% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
| 980 | 1130 | 30% | 2012-11-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1253 | 22% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1170 | 34% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2009-04-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 933 | 67% | 2008-08-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2007-08-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1053 | 54% | 2006-05-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2005-04-13 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1065 | 57% | 2005-03-31 | Won |
| 1095 | 1127 | 45% | 2005-03-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2005-03-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1095 | 54% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2003-02-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1048 | 57% | 2002-08-03 | Won |
| 900 | 1140 | 20% | 2001-12-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1002 | 59% | 1998-04-26 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1997-10-30 | Won |
| 1173 | 981 | 75% | 1996-04-18 | Won |
| 1110 | 1224 | 34% | 1994-11-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 1078 | 33% | 1992-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1039.3 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).