Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 363 (51 on the archive and 312 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 188
Defender wins (Russian): 175
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
942 | 902 | 56% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
1016 | 1046 | 46% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
1026 | 1084 | 42% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
1179 | 1191 | 48% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
1000 | 886 | 66% | 2022-05-27 | Won |
886 | 1000 | 34% | 2022-05-26 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
1019 | 963 | 58% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
961 | 1009 | 43% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
1016 | 1011 | 51% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
925 | 1020 | 37% | 2019-08-18 | Lost |
1055 | 1180 | 33% | 2019-05-06 | Lost |
1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
1026 | 1020 | 51% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2018-06-05 | Won |
915 | 895 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
1137 | 1011 | 67% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-07-17 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
943 | 1055 | 34% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
982 | 1008 | 46% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
895 | 906 | 48% | 2016-07-14 | Lost |
1026 | 992 | 55% | 2016-06-14 | Won |
1158 | 997 | 72% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
1162 | 1067 | 63% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
1047 | 1012 | 55% | 2014-06-08 | Won |
1067 | 701 | 89% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1000 | 958 | 56% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
948 | 1029 | 39% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
1016 | 1159 | 31% | 2012-11-06 | Lost |
1079 | 1228 | 30% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
1049 | 1062 | 48% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
1107 | 1073 | 55% | 2009-04-15 | Lost |
1227 | 1003 | 78% | 2007-08-27 | Won |
1016 | 936 | 61% | 2005-10-12 | Won |
916 | 973 | 42% | 2005-03-31 | Won |
1096 | 1088 | 51% | 2005-03-22 | Lost |
1101 | 1096 | 51% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-02-04 | Lost |
1096 | 1035 | 59% | 2002-08-03 | Won |
973 | 1002 | 46% | 1998-04-26 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1997-10-30 | Won |
1158 | 981 | 73% | 1996-04-18 | Won |
952 | 963 | 48% | 1992-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1025.3 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).