Bread Factory #2
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 380 (64 on the archive and 316 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 180
Defender wins (Russian): 200
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1054 | 43% | 2025-10-09 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-12-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 879 | 68% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1142 | 1002 | 69% | 2024-02-25 | Won |
| 985 | 1028 | 44% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 996 | 995 | 50% | 2023-05-26 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1191 | 52% | 2023-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 878 | 69% | 2022-05-27 | Won |
| 878 | 1018 | 31% | 2022-05-26 | Lost |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2022-03-06 | Lost |
| 994 | 1158 | 28% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1004 | 53% | 2021-10-10 | Lost |
| 974 | 946 | 54% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 985 | 64% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1010 | 46% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 904 | 1016 | 34% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 919 | 1090 | 27% | 2019-11-26 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1138 | 54% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 933 | 950 | 48% | 2019-08-18 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1192 | 34% | 2019-05-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1104 | 46% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 950 | 73% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1122 | 950 | 73% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 904 | 949 | 44% | 2018-06-05 | Won |
| 919 | 897 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1002 | 55% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2017-07-17 | Won |
| 1104 | 1034 | 60% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 913 | 1075 | 28% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
| 897 | 906 | 49% | 2016-07-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2016-06-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2015-11-05 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1053 | 64% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 1012 | 54% | 2014-06-08 | Won |
| 1086 | 693 | 91% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 987 | 969 | 53% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
| 948 | 1008 | 41% | 2013-01-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 983 | 51% | 2013-01-08 | Won |
| 985 | 1113 | 32% | 2012-11-06 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1244 | 24% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1133 | 39% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1016 | 866 | 70% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 985 | 1082 | 36% | 2009-04-15 | Lost |
| 1054 | 933 | 67% | 2008-08-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2007-08-27 | Won |
| 1079 | 1053 | 54% | 2006-05-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1132 | 41% | 2005-04-13 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1053 | 59% | 2005-03-31 | Won |
| 1095 | 1112 | 48% | 2005-03-22 | Lost |
| 1068 | 919 | 70% | 2005-03-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1095 | 55% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2003-02-04 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1048 | 57% | 2002-08-03 | Won |
| 900 | 1138 | 20% | 2001-12-14 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1002 | 57% | 1998-04-26 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 1997-10-30 | Won |
| 1174 | 981 | 75% | 1996-04-18 | Won |
| 1110 | 1177 | 40% | 1994-11-26 | Lost |
| 952 | 1004 | 43% | 1992-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1029.7 has a 50.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).