To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 852 | 70% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1066 | 1040 | 54% | 2022-03-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 1310 | 17% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 959 | 1040 | 39% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2019-05-03 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-01 | Won |
| 1111 | 1133 | 47% | 2015-12-12 | Won |
| 831 | 1068 | 20% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2012-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 1087 | 905 | 74% | 2008-01-30 | Won |
| 959 | 920 | 56% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-09-16 | Won |
| 916 | 1076 | 28% | 2006-07-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-02-05 | Won |
| 959 | 1189 | 21% | 2006-01-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1071 | 45% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1121 | 68% | 2001-05-15 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-01-18 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2000-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1051 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).