Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2024-11-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 986 | 35% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1064 | 976 | 62% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2020-06-21 | Lost |
| 1057 | 967 | 63% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 967 | 63% | 2020-04-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1025 | 1249 | 22% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1142 | 1101 | 56% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2017-07-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 932 | 84% | 2017-06-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2015-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1176 | 25% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1053 | 981 | 60% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
| 1287 | 1274 | 52% | 2014-04-01 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-02-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2013-03-30 | Lost |
| 1008 | 973 | 55% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 1033 | 1033 | 50% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2009-07-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 1012 | 45% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2007-11-14 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1025 | 78% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1180 | 25% | 2007-01-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-02-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2006-01-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 943 | 862 | 61% | 2005-03-05 | Won |
| 982 | 937 | 56% | 2005-02-28 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1249 | 51% | 2004-07-30 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1177 | 48% | 2001-10-20 | Won |
| 1249 | 1219 | 54% | 1999-12-18 | Lost |
| 1249 | 964 | 84% | 1999-10-08 | Won |
| 1249 | 1080 | 73% | 1999-05-02 | Lost |
| 1290 | 1249 | 56% | 1999-04-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 872 | 74% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1091.7 vs 1051.3 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).