Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1011 | 57% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 1005 | 949 | 58% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1234 | 1066 | 72% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1025 | 52% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1061.5 has a 46.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).