Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 947 | 69% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 1078 | 33% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1184 | 1048 | 69% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1026 | 55% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1059.8 has a 47.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).