Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (15 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2024-12-29 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-12-22 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1048 | 65% | 2022-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 982 | 54% | 2022-04-22 | | Won |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2016-10-22 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2009-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2008-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-07 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1031.4 vs 1052.5 has a 46.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).