Marechal's Mill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (10 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German (SS)): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-08-08 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 1047 | 51% | 2009-10-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 613 | 94% | 2005-06-04 | Lost |
| 1049 | 827 | 78% | 2001-02-05 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-14 | Won |
| 866 | 1113 | 19% | 1996-06-25 | Won |
| 1113 | 866 | 81% | 1996-06-25 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 986.2 has a 56.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).