Coup de Main
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (British): 9
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1023 | 47% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1118 | 1224 | 35% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 831 | 78% | 2023-03-13 | Won |
| 1008 | 994 | 52% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1248 | 17% | 2019-12-18 | Lost |
| 862 | 862 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-06-07 | Won |
| 1003 | 983 | 53% | 2017-12-24 | Lost |
| 987 | 903 | 62% | 2017-09-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
| 1002 | 1046 | 44% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2014-09-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 1044 | 51% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
| 973 | 959 | 52% | 2013-06-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1034 | 51% | 2010-07-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1070 | 54% | 2004-04-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2002-07-07 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1014 vs 1022.1 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).