Coup de Main
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (14 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 43
Defender wins (German): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1118 | 1152 | 45% | 2023-07-25 | Lost |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
862 | 862 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
966 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-06-07 | Won |
992 | 1055 | 41% | 2017-12-24 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-09-12 | Won |
1145 | 1158 | 48% | 2017-09-01 | Won |
1002 | 1078 | 39% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
1067 | 990 | 61% | 2014-09-05 | Won |
1067 | 990 | 61% | 2014-02-28 | Won |
973 | 1058 | 38% | 2013-06-26 | Lost |
1040 | 1036 | 51% | 2010-07-26 | Lost |
1096 | 1067 | 54% | 2004-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1029.8 vs 1040.8 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).