Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (18 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 49
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1076 | 47% | 2026-02-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1173 | 37% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1032 | 964 | 60% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 959 | 51% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1129 | 35% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1213 | 880 | 87% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1031 | 64% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1079 | 65% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1056 | 72% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 1056 | 52% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1145 | 52% | 2005-05-13 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2004-06-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1092 | 37% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1094 vs 1034.3 has a 58.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).