Lambs Led to Slaughter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (16 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 47
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1172 | 37% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1031 | 940 | 63% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1008 | 58% | 2018-12-20 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1124 | 40% | 2017-10-07 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2017-07-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 880 | 82% | 2011-02-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 805 | 81% | 2010-12-10 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2010-11-10 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1089 | 66% | 2008-08-23 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1048 | 75% | 2007-03-10 | Won |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1023 | 53% | 2006-01-03 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1151 | 57% | 2005-05-13 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2004-06-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1092 | 54% | 2003-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1116 vs 1021.4 has a 63.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).