First to Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (14 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2017-05-21 | | Won |
| 1056 | 933 | 67% | 2014-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2013-06-08 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2009-11-04 | | Won |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2006-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1207 | 23% | 2006-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2003-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 1999-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 1996-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1157 | 1000 | 71% | 1993-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1066.6 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).