Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 532 (66 on the archive and 466 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 257
Defender wins (German): 274
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1052 | 1044 | 51% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1036 | 52% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1023 | 53% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 892 | 969 | 39% | 2022-04-08 | Lost |
| 764 | 991 | 21% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 1151 | 932 | 78% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 987 | 1142 | 29% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 908 | 67% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 1082 | 45% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 1152 | 42% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 862 | 881 | 47% | 2017-09-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2017-05-29 | Won |
| 1055 | 909 | 70% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1079 | 909 | 73% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 1028 | 1158 | 32% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
| 909 | 987 | 39% | 2016-01-15 | Lost |
| 806 | 1181 | 10% | 2015-08-31 | Won |
| 1043 | 1056 | 48% | 2015-01-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2014-11-24 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1044 | 63% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2014-09-20 | Lost |
| 1329 | 942 | 90% | 2014-05-22 | Won |
| 949 | 991 | 44% | 2014-05-08 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2013-11-07 | Won |
| 977 | 764 | 77% | 2013-04-30 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 895 | 875 | 53% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1329 | 1190 | 69% | 2011-06-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 981 | 58% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2010-05-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1046 | 49% | 2009-10-20 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-06-08 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2009-05-08 | Lost |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
| 1047 | 932 | 66% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-10-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1034 | 44% | 2008-08-16 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2007-11-13 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1152 | 55% | 2007-07-28 | Lost |
| 832 | 1130 | 15% | 2006-06-26 | Lost |
| 917 | 1099 | 26% | 2006-05-02 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-01-29 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1117 | 38% | 2005-09-19 | Won |
| 764 | 1158 | 9% | 2005-08-13 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2004-11-14 | Lost |
| 993 | 932 | 59% | 2004-10-31 | Lost |
| 928 | 903 | 54% | 2004-03-20 | Lost |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
| 980 | 1095 | 34% | 2003-10-15 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1132 | 48% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1147 | 1050 | 64% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1050 | 1057 | 49% | 2002-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 983 | 51% | 2000-01-27 | Lost |
| 866 | 1036 | 27% | 1998-09-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 1998-06-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 1115 | 31% | 1997-11-11 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
| 1115 | 1000 | 66% | 1997-04-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1992-09-15 | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1021.2 has a 51.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).