Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1059 | 71% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 1243 | 46% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 973 | 62% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1103 | 889 | 77% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 1053 | 1024 | 54% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1184 | 824 | 89% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 904 | 64% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1076 | 68% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1060 | 37% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 908 | 1021 | 34% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 987 | 47% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 964 | 984 | 47% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1044 | 62% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 971 | 72% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1184 | 29% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1180 | 978 | 76% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1102 | 1180 | 39% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 939 | 1101 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 964 | 53% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 830 | 81% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058.4 vs 1048.6 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).