Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 263 (29 on the archive and 234 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 117
Defender wins (American / British): 146
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
955 | 1127 | 27% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
1090 | 959 | 68% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
992 | 1040 | 43% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
1011 | 780 | 79% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
1175 | 987 | 75% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
1013 | 1059 | 43% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
907 | 1003 | 37% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
1018 | 1097 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
1126 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
1106 | 994 | 66% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
1050 | 1097 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
1175 | 1142 | 55% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
934 | 1097 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1047.2 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).